On a problem of optimal transport under marginal martingale constraints

Abstract: The basic problem of optimal transportation consists in minimizing the expected costs $\mathbb {E}[c(X_1,X_2)]$ by varying the joint distribution $(X_1,X_2)$ where the marginal distributions of the random variables $X_1$ and $X_2$ are fixed. Inspired by recent applications in mathematical finance and connections with the peacock problem, we study this problem under the additional condition that $(X_i)_{i=1,2}$ is a martingale, that is, $\mathbb {E}[X_2|X_1]=X_1$. We establish a variational principle for this problem which enables us to determine optimal martingale transport plans for specific cost functions. In particular, we identify a martingale coupling that resembles the classic monotone quantile coupling in several respects. In analogy with the celebrated theorem of Brenier, the following behavior can be observed: If the initial distribution is continuous, then this "monotone martingale" is supported by the graphs of two functions $T_1,T_2:\mathbb {R}\to \mathbb {R}$.