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The Hunt for Exomoons with Kepler (HEK): III. The First Search for an Exomoon around a Habitable-Zone Planet

Published 6 Jun 2013 in astro-ph.EP | (1306.1530v2)

Abstract: Kepler-22b is the first transiting planet to have been detected in the habitable-zone of its host star. At 2.4 Earth radii, Kepler-22b is too large to be considered an Earth-analog, but should the planet host a moon large enough to maintain an atmosphere, then the Kepler-22 system may yet possess a telluric world. Aside from being within the habitable-zone, the target is attractive due to the availability of previously measured precise radial velocities and low intrinsic photometric noise, which has also enabled asteroseismology studies of the star. For these reasons, Kepler-22b was selected as a target-of-opportunity by the 'Hunt for Exomoons with Kepler' (HEK) project. In this work, we conduct a photodynamical search for an exomoon around Kepler-22b leveraging the transits, radial velocities and asteroseismology plus several new tools developed by the HEK project to improve exomoon searches. We find no evidence for an exomoon around the planet and exclude moons of mass >0.5 Earth masses to 95% confidence. By signal injection and blind retrieval, we demonstrate that an Earth-like moon is easily detected for this planet even when the time-correlated noise of the data set is taken into account. We provide updated parameters for the planet Kepler-22b including a revised mass of <53 Earth masses to 95% confidence and an eccentricity of 0.13(-0.13)(+0.36) by exploiting Single-body Asterodensity Profiling (SAP). Finally, we show that Kepler-22b has a >95% probability of being within the empirical habitable-zone but a <5% probability of being within the conservative habitable-zone.

Citations (59)

Summary

  • The paper demonstrates that no significant exomoon with a mass above 0.5 Earth masses was detected around Kepler-22b.
  • It utilizes photodynamical modeling that combines transit light curves, radial velocities, and asteroseismology for robust analysis.
  • The investigation pioneers the exploration of both circular and eccentric orbits, enhancing exomoon detection techniques for future surveys.

The Hunt for Exomoons with Kepler: Analyzing Kepler-22b for Hidden Moons

The HEK (Hunt for Exomoons with Kepler) project undertakes a challenging mission of searching for moons beyond our solar system, or exomoons, with the Kepler telescope. One of its targets, Kepler-22b, presents an intriguing case—a planet within the habitable zone of its star yet significantly larger than Earth, sparking interest in the possibility of habitability via potential moons.

Kepler-22b: An Overview

Kepler-22b is the first transiting planet identified within the habitable zone of its star, receiving an insolation that is only slightly higher than that received by Earth. However, its size (2.4 times the radius of Earth) and the consequent upper mass limit (53 Earth masses or less with 95% confidence) suggest it cannot be considered an Earth analog. Given these characteristics, the presence of a habitable exomoon could pivot the system back into possessing a potentially telluric, or rocky, world.

Methodological Innovations

The study incorporates several advancements in exomoon detection:

  • Photodynamical Modeling: Utilizing transit light curves, radial velocities, and asteroseismology, a comprehensive modeling approach is adopted.
  • Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA): By calculating the Bayesian evidence of different models, this method quantifies the presence or absence of an exomoon based on the combined posterior probability.
  • Eccentricity Exploration: The study explores both circular and eccentric orbits for the alleged exomoon—a first for HEK—thus expanding the potential parameter space.
  • Inject-and-Retrieve Procedures: Synthesizing realistic noise into the models allows for testing detection capabilities with synthetic moons, affirming that an Earth-sized moon would indeed be detectable with current data.

Results and Inferences

After rigorous analysis, including signal injections to test the sensitivity of the models, no significant evidence for an exomoon around Kepler-22b was found. The search confidently excludes moons with a mass greater than 0.5 Earth masses. Despite the null detection, the methodology effectively confirms the capability of detecting Earth-sized moons under similar conditions—a crucial metric for future studies.

The search addressed various configurations to assess robustly the absence of moons that could impact the planetary dynamics or light curves in a detectable manner. The investigation into the eccentricities of potential moons, despite yielding some significant but ultimately non-physical configurations, showcases the stringent testing required for such detections.

Implications and Future Directions

The findings have several implications:

  • Direct Inference on Habitability: With no detectable substantial moon, Kepler-22b remains unlikely to host an Earth-like body. Its atmospheric composition remains under speculation, pending further studies such as transmission spectroscopy.
  • Constraints on Exomoon Prevalence: This study adds a data point suggesting that large, habitable exomoons may be rarer than potentially expected, though the sample size remains small.
  • Future Exomoon Surveys: The improvements in detection methodology, along with its computational demands, emphasize the ongoing need for advanced algorithms and efficient computing resources in exoplanetary exploration.

The HEK project continues to explore new stars, particularly M-dwarfs and systems with potential anomalies, in search of the elusive exomoon, thus gradually contributing to our understanding of moon formation and characteristics in other planetary systems.

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