Division of the Energy Market into Zones in Variable Weather Conditions using Locational Marginal Prices

Abstract: Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones' borders. One of the approaches to identify zones is based on clustering of Locational Marginal Prices (LMP). The purpose of the paper is twofold: (i) we extend the LMP methodology by taking into account variable weather conditions and (ii) we point out some weaknesses of the method and suggest their potential solutions. The offered extension comprises simulations based on the Optimal Power Flow (OPF) algorithm and twofold clustering method. First, LMP are calculated by OPF for each of scenario representing different weather conditions. Second, hierarchical clustering based on Ward's criterion is used on each realization of the prices separately. Then, another clustering method, i.e. consensus clustering, is used to aggregate the results from all simulations and to find the global division into zones. The offered method of aggregation is not limited only to LMP methodology and is universal.