S-duality for surfaces with $A_n$-type singularities

Abstract: We show that the generating series of Euler characteristics of Hilbert schemes of points on any algebraic surface with at worst $A_n$-type singularities is described by the theta series determined by integer valued positive definite quadratic forms and the Dedekind eta function. In particular it is a Fourier development of a meromorphic modular form with possibly half integer weight. The key ingredient is to apply the flop transformation formula of Donaldson-Thomas type invariants counting two dimensional torsion sheaves on 3-folds proved in the author's previous paper.