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Finite-time ruin probability of aggregate Gaussian processes

Published 23 Apr 2014 in math.PR | (1404.5730v1)

Abstract: Let $\left{\sum_{i=1}n \lambda_i X_i(t), t\in [0,T]\right}$ be an aggregate Gaussian risk process with $X_i, i\leq n$ independent Gaussian processes satisfying Piterbarg conditions and $\lambda_i$'s given positive weights. In this paper we derive exact asymptotics of the finite-time ruin probability given by $$\mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}\left(\sum_{i=1}n \lambda_i X_i(t)- g(t) \right)>u\right)$$ as $u\to\infty$ for some general trend function $g$. Further, we derive asymptotic results for the finite-time ruin probabilities of risk processes perturbed by an aggregate Gaussian process.

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