Modeling Non-Progressive Phenomena for Influence Propagation

Abstract: Recent work on modeling influence propagation focus on progressive models, i.e., once a node is influenced (active) the node stays in that state and cannot become inactive. However, this assumption is unrealistic in many settings where nodes can transition between active and inactive states. For instance, a user of a social network may stop using an app and become inactive, but again activate when instigated by a friend, or when the app adds a new feature or releases a new version. In this work, we study such non-progressive phenomena and propose an efficient model of influence propagation. Specifically, we model in influence propagation as a continuous-time Markov process with 2 states: active and inactive. Such a model is both highly scalable (we evaluated on graphs with over 2 million nodes), 17-20 times faster, and more accurate for estimating the spread of influence, as compared with state-of-the-art progressive models for several applications where nodes may switch states.