Expected geoneutrino signal at JUNO

Abstract: Constraints on the Earth's composition and on its radiogenic energy budget come from the detection of geoneutrinos. The KamLAND and Borexino experiments recently reported the geoneutrino flux, which reflects the amount and distribution of U and Th inside the Earth. The KamLAND and Borexino experiments recently reported the geoneutrino flux, which reflects the amount and distribution of U and Th inside the Earth. The JUNO neutrino experiment, designed as a 20 kton liquid scintillator detector, will be built in an underground laboratory in South China about 53 km from the Yangjiang and Taishan nuclear power plants. Given the large detector mass and the intense reactor antineutrino flux, JUNO aims to collect high statistics antineutrino signals from reactors but also to address the challenge of discriminating the geoneutrino signal from the reactor background.The predicted geoneutrino signal at JUNO is 39.7 $^{+6.5}_{-5.2}$ TNU, based on the existing reference Earth model, with the dominant source of uncertainty coming from the modeling of the compositional variability in the local upper crust that surrounds (out to $\sim$ 500 km) the detector. A special focus is dedicated to the 6{\deg} x 4{\deg} Local Crust surrounding the detector which is estimated to contribute for the 44% of the signal. On the base of a worldwide reference model for reactor antineutrinos, the ratio between reactor antineutrino and geoneutrino signals in the geoneutrino energy window is estimated to be 0.7 considering reactors operating in year 2013 and reaches a value of 8.9 by adding the contribution of the future nuclear power plants. In order to extract useful information about the mantle's composition, a refinement of the abundance and distribution of U and Th in the Local Crust is required, with particular attention to the geochemical characterization of the accessible upper crust.