Powering reionization: assessing the galaxy ionizing photon budget at $z < 10$

Abstract: We present a new analysis of the ionizing emissivity ($\dot{N}{\rm{ion}}$, s$^{-1}$ Mpc$^{-3}$) for galaxies during the epoch of reionization and their potential for completing and maintaining reionization. We use extensive SED modelling -- incorporating two plausible mechanisms for the escape of Lyman continuum photon -- to explore the range and evolution of ionizing efficiencies consistent with new results on galaxy colours ($\beta$) during this epoch. We estimate $\dot{N}{\rm{ion}}$ for the latest observations of the luminosity and star-formation rate density at $z<10$, outlining the range of emissivity histories consistent with our new model. Given the growing observational evidence for a UV colour-magnitude relation in high-redshift galaxies, we find that for any plausible evolution in galaxy properties, red (brighter) galaxies are less efficient at producing ionizing photons than their blue (fainter) counterparts. The assumption of a redshift and luminosity evolution in $\beta$ leads to two important conclusions. Firstly, the ionizing efficiency of galaxies naturally increases with redshift. Secondly, for a luminosity dependent ionizing efficiency, we find that galaxies down to a rest-frame magnitude of $M_{\rm{UV}} \approx -15$ alone can potentially produce sufficient numbers of ionizing photons to maintain reionization as early as $z\sim8$ for a clumping factor of $C_{\rm{H {\small II}}} \leq 3$.