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Long-memory process and aggregation of AR(1) stochastic processes: A new characterization

Published 23 Jun 2015 in math.ST, math.CV, math.PR, and stat.TH | (1506.07446v2)

Abstract: Contemporaneous aggregation of individual AR(1) random processes might lead to different properties of the limit aggregated time series, in particular, long memory (Granger, 1980). We provide a new characterization of the series of autoregressive coefficients, which is defined from the Wold representation of the limit of the aggregate stochastic process, in the presence of long-memory features. Especially the infinite autoregressive stochastic process defined by the almost sure representation of the aggregate process has a unit root in the presence of the long-memory property. Finally we discuss some examples using some well-known probability density functions of the autoregressive random parameter in the aggregation literature. JEL Classification Code: C2, C13.

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