Using Source Code Metrics and Ensemble Methods for Fault Proneness Prediction

Abstract: Software fault prediction model are employed to optimize testing resource allocation by identifying fault-prone classes before testing phases. Several researchers' have validated the use of different classification techniques to develop predictive models for fault prediction. The performance of the statistical models are proven to be influenced by the training and testing dataset. Ensemble method learning algorithms have been widely used because it combines the capabilities of its constituent models towards a dataset to come up with a potentially higher performance as compared to individual models (improves generalizability). In the study presented in this paper, three different ensemble methods have been applied to develop a model for predicting fault proneness. The efficacy and usefulness of a fault prediction model also depends on the source code metrics which are considered as the input for the model. In this paper, we propose a framework to validate the source code metrics and select the right set of metrics with the objective to improve the performance of the fault prediction model. The fault prediction models are then validated using a cost evaluation framework. We conduct a series of experiments on 45 open source project dataset. Key conclusions from our experiments are: (1) Majority Voting Ensemble (MVE) methods outperformed other methods; (2) selected set of source code metrics using the suggested source code metrics using validation framework as the input achieves better results compared to all other metrics; (3) fault prediction method is effective for software projects with a percentage of faulty classes lower than the threshold value (low - 54.82%, medium - 41.04%, high - 28.10%)