Reliable Semi-Supervised Learning when Labels are Missing at Random

Abstract: Semi-supervised learning methods are motivated by the availability of large datasets with unlabeled features in addition to labeled data. Unlabeled data is, however, not guaranteed to improve classification performance and has in fact been reported to impair the performance in certain cases. A fundamental source of error arises from restrictive assumptions about the unlabeled features, which result in unreliable classifiers that underestimate their prediction error probabilities. In this paper, we develop a semi-supervised learning approach that relaxes such assumptions and is capable of providing classifiers that reliably quantify the label uncertainty. The approach is applicable using any generative model with a supervised learning algorithm. We illustrate the approach using both handwritten digit and cloth classification data where the labels are missing at random.