Cyber-physical risks of hacked Internet-connected vehicles

Abstract: The integration of automotive technology with Internet-connectivity promises to both dramatically improve transportation, while simultaneously introducing the potential for new unknown risks. Internet-connected vehicles are like digital data because they can be targeted for malicious hacking. Unlike digital data, however, Internet-connected vehicles are cyber-physical systems that physically interact with each other and their environment. As such, the extension of cybersecurity concerns into the cyber-physical domain introduces new possibilities for self-organized phenomena in traffic flow. Here, we study a scenario envisioned by cybersecurity experts leading to a large number of Internet-connected vehicles being suddenly and simultaneously disabled. We investigate post-hack traffic using agent-based simulations, and discover the critical relevance of percolation for probabilistically predicting the outcomes on a multi-lane road in the immediate aftermath of a vehicle-targeted cyber attack. We develop an analytic percolation-based model to rapidly assess road conditions given the density of disabled vehicles and apply it to study the street network of Manhattan (NY, USA) revealing the city's vulnerability to this particular cyber-physical attack.