CNN-based Survival Model for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma in Medical Imaging

Abstract: Cox proportional hazard model (CPH) is commonly used in clinical research for survival analysis. In quantitative medical imaging (radiomics) studies, CPH plays an important role in feature reduction and modeling. However, the underlying linear assumption of CPH model limits the prognostic performance. In addition, the multicollinearity of radiomic features and multiple testing problem further impedes the CPH models performance. In this work, using transfer learning, a convolutional neural network (CNN) based survival model was built and tested on preoperative CT images of resectable Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients. The proposed CNN-based survival model outperformed the traditional CPH-based radiomics approach in terms of concordance index by 22%, providing a better fit for patients' survival patterns. The proposed CNN-based survival model outperforms CPH-based radiomics pipeline in PDAC prognosis. This approach offers a better fit for survival patterns based on CT images and overcomes the limitations of conventional survival models.