Short-term Electric Load Forecasting Using TensorFlow and Deep Auto-Encoders

Abstract: This paper conducts research on the short-term electric load forecast method under the background of big data. It builds a new electric load forecast model based on Deep Auto-Encoder Networks (DAENs), which takes into account multidimensional load-related data sets including historical load value, temperature, day type, etc. A new distributed short-term load forecast method based on TensorFlow and DAENs is therefore proposed, with an algorithm flowchart designed. This method overcomes the shortcomings of traditional neural network methods, such as over-fitting, slow convergence and local optimum, etc. Case study results show that the proposed method has obvious advantages in prediction accuracy, stability, and expansibility compared with those based on traditional neural networks. Thus, this model can better meet the demands of short-term electric load forecasting under big data scenario.