Controlling a Random Population is EXPTIME-hard

Abstract: Bertrand et al. 1 describe two-player zero-sum games in which one player tries to achieve a reachability objective in $n$ games (on the same finite arena) simultaneously by broadcasting actions, and where the opponent has full control of resolving non-deterministic choices. They show EXPTIME completeness for the question if such games can be won for every number $n$ of games. We consider the almost-sure variant in which the opponent randomizes their actions, and where the player tries to achieve the reachability objective eventually with probability one. The lower bound construction in [1] does not directly carry over to this randomized setting. In this note we show EXPTIME hardness for the almost-sure problem by reduction from Countdown Games.