An examination of the effect of the TESS extended mission on southern hemisphere monotransits

Abstract: Context: NASA recently announced an extended mission for TESS. As a result it is expected that the southern ecliptic hemisphere will be re-observed approximately two years after the initial survey. Aims: We aim to explore how TESS re-observing the southern ecliptic hemisphere will impact the number and distribution of mono-transits discovered during the first year of observations. This simulation will be able to be scaled to any future TESS re-observations. Methods: We carry out an updated simulation of TESS detections in the southern ecliptic hemisphere. This simulation includes realistic Sector window-functions based on the first 11 sectors of SPOC 2 min SAP lightcurves. We then extend this simulation to cover the expected Year 4 of the mission when TESS will re-observed the southern ecliptic fields. For recovered monotransits we also look at the possibility of predicting the period based on the coverage in the TESS data. Results: We find an updated prediction of 339 monotransits from the TESS Year 1 southern ecliptic hemisphere, and that approximately 80% of these systems (266/339) will transit again in the Year 4 observations. The Year 4 observations will also contribute new monotransits not seen in Year 1, resulting in a total of 149 monotransits from the combined Year 1 and Year 4 data sets. We find that 75% (189/266) of recovered Year 1 monotransits will only transit once in the Year 4 data set. For these systems we will be able to constrain possible periods, but period aliasing due to the large time gap between Year 1 and Year 4 observations means that the true period will remain unknown with further spectroscopic or photometric follow-up.