A full multigrid multilevel Monte Carlo method for the single phase subsurface flow with random coefficients

Abstract: The subsurface flow is usually subject to uncertain porous media structures. In most cases, however, we only have partial knowledge about the porous media properties. A common approach is to model the uncertain parameters of porous media as random fields, then the statistical moments (e.g. expectation) of the Quantity of Interest(QoI) can be evaluated by the Monte Carlo method. In this study, we develop a full multigrid-multilevel Monte Carlo (FMG-MLMC) method to speed up the evaluation of random parameters effects on single-phase porous flows. In general, MLMC method applies a series of discretization with increasing resolution and computes the QoI on each of them. The effective variance reduction is the success of the method. We exploit the similar hierarchies of MLMC and multigrid methods and obtain the solution on coarse mesh $Q^c_l$ as a byproduct of the full multigrid solution on fine mesh $Q^f_l$ on each level $l$. In the cases considered in this work, the computational saving due to the coarse mesh samples saving is $20\%$ asymptotically. Besides, a comparison of Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods reveals a smaller estimator variance and a faster convergence rate of the latter approach in this study.