Towards Successful Social Media Advertising: Predicting the Influence of Commercial Tweets

Abstract: Businesses communicate using Twitter for a variety of reasons -- to raise awareness of their brands, to market new products, to respond to community comments, and to connect with their customers and potential customers in a targeted manner. For businesses to do this effectively, they need to understand which content and structural elements about a tweet make it influential, that is, widely liked, followed, and retweeted. This paper presents a systematic methodology for analyzing commercial tweets, and predicting the influence on their readers. Our model, which use a combination of decoration and meta features, outperforms the prediction ability of the baseline model as well as the tweet embedding model. Further, in order to demonstrate a practical use of this work, we show how an unsuccessful tweet may be engineered (for example, reworded) to increase its potential for success.