The Feasibility of Directly Imaging Nearby Cold Jovian Planets with MIRI/JWST

Abstract: The upcoming launch of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) will dramatically increase our understanding of exoplanets, particularly through direct imaging. Microlensing and radial velocity surveys indicate that some M-dwarfs host long period giant planets. Some of these planets will likely be just a few parsecs away and a few AU from their host stars, a parameter space that cannot be probed by existing high-contrast imagers. We studied whether the coronagraphs on the Mid-Infrared Instrument on JWST can detect Jovian-type planets around nearby M-dwarfs. For a sample of 27 very nearby M-dwarfs, we simulated a sample of Saturn--Jupiter-mass planets with three atmospheric configurations, three orbital separations, observed in three different filters. We found that the f1550c $15.5\mu$m filter is best suited for detecting Jupiter-like planets. Jupiter-like planets with patchy cloud cover, 2 AU from their star, are detectable at $15.5\mu$m around 14 stars in our sample, while Jupiters with clearer atmospheres are detectable around all stars in the sample. Saturns were most detectable at 10.65 and $11.4\mu$m (f1065c and f1140c filters), but only with cloud-free atmospheres and within 3 pc (6 stars). Surveying all 27 stars would take $<170$ hours of JWST integration time, or just a few hours for a shorter survey of the most favorable targets. There is one potentially detectable known planet in our sample -- GJ~832~b. Observations aimed at detecting this planet should occur in 2024--2026, when the planet is maximally separated from the star.