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Two critical times for the SIR model
Published 21 Sep 2020 in math.CA and math.AP | (2009.10157v1)
Abstract: We consider the SIR model and study the first time the number of infected individuals begins to decrease and the first time this population is below a given threshold. We interpret these times as functions of the initial susceptible and infected populations and characterize them as solutions of a certain partial differential equation. This allows us to obtain integral representations of these times and in turn to estimate them precisely for large populations.
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