Ridge regression with adaptive additive rectangles and other piecewise functional templates

Abstract: We propose an $L_{2}$-based penalization algorithm for functional linear regression models, where the coefficient function is shrunk towards a data-driven shape template $\gamma$, which is constrained to belong to a class of piecewise functions by restricting its basis expansion. In particular, we focus on the case where $\gamma$ can be expressed as a sum of $q$ rectangles that are adaptively positioned with respect to the regression error. As the problem of finding the optimal knot placement of a piecewise function is nonconvex, the proposed parametrization allows to reduce the number of variables in the global optimization scheme, resulting in a fitting algorithm that alternates between approximating a suitable template and solving a convex ridge-like problem. The predictive power and interpretability of our method is shown on multiple simulations and two real world case studies.