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Taylor's Theorem and Mean Value Theorem for Random Functions and Random Variables

Published 20 Feb 2021 in stat.OT, math.ST, and stat.TH | (2102.10429v2)

Abstract: This study addresses the often-overlooked issue of measurability at intermediate points when applying Taylor's theorems to random functions and random vectors (e.g., likelihood functions with respect to estimators) in statistics. Classical Taylor-related theorems were originally developed for deterministic settings. Consequently, they do not directly extend to stochastic functions and variables and do not inherently guarantee the measurability of intermediate points. In statistical contexts, applying these theorems without properly accounting for randomness can lead to analyses that lack well-defined probabilistic interpretations. Elementary approaches, such as pointwise constructions, are insufficient for handling random quantities and establishing measurable intermediate points. Moreover, some statistical literature has implicitly disregarded this issue, often neglecting the stochastic nature of the problem and assuming that intermediate points are measurable. To address this gap, we develop multivariate Taylor's and mean value theorems tailored for random functions and random variables under mild assumptions. We provide illustrative examples demonstrating the applicability of our results to commonly used statistical methods, including maximum likelihood estimation, $M$-estimation, and profile estimation. Our findings contribute a rigorous foundation for the applications of Taylor expansions in statistics.

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