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The arrow of time and a-priori probabilities

Published 2 Jun 2021 in cond-mat.stat-mech | (2106.02455v1)

Abstract: The second law of thermodynamics is asymmetric with respect to time as it says that the entropy of the universe must have been lower in the past and will be higher in the future. How this time-asymmetric law arises from the time-symmetric equations of motion has been the subject of extensive discussion in the scientific literature. The currently accepted resolution of the problem is to assume that the universe began in a low entropy state for an unknown reason. But the probability of this happening by chance is exceedingly small, if all microstates are assigned equal a-priori probabilities. In this paper, I explore another possible explanation, which is that our observations of the time-asymmetric increase of entropy could simply be the result of the way we assign a-priori probabilities differently to past and future events.

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