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Cramér moderate deviations for a supercritical Galton-Watson process

Published 25 Sep 2021 in math.PR, math.ST, and stat.TH | (2109.12374v3)

Abstract: Let $(Z_n){n\geq0}$ be a supercritical Galton-Watson process. The Lotka-Nagaev estimator $Z{n+1}/Z_n$ is a common estimator for the offspring mean.In this paper, we establish some Cram\'{e}r moderate deviation results for the Lotka-Nagaev estimator via a martingale method. Applications to construction of confidence intervals are also given.

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