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Robust filtering of sequences with periodically stationary multiplicative seasonal increments

Published 14 Oct 2021 in math.ST, math.PR, and stat.TH | (2110.07189v1)

Abstract: We study stochastic sequences $\xi(k)$ with periodically stationary generalized multiple increments of fractional order which combines cyclostationary, multi-seasonal, integrated and fractionally integrated patterns. We solve the filtering problem for linear functionals constructed from unobserved values of a stochastic sequence $\xi(k)$ based on observations with the periodically stationary noise sequence. For sequences with known matrices of spectral densities, we obtain formulas for calculating values of the mean square errors and the spectral characteristics of the optimal estimates of the functionals. Formulas that determine the least favorable spectral densities and minimax (robust) spectral characteristics of the optimal linear estimates of the functionals are proposed in the case where spectral densities of sequences are not exactly known while some sets of admissible spectral densities are given.

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