Serre weights for three-dimensional wildly ramified Galois representations

Abstract: We formulate and prove the weight part of Serre's conjecture for three-dimensional mod $p$ Galois representations under a genericity condition when the field is unramified at $p$. This removes the assumption in \cite{arXiv:1512.06380}, \cite{arXiv:1608.06570} that the representation be tamely ramified at $p$. We also prove a version of Breuil's lattice conjecture and a mod $p$ multiplicity one result for the cohomology of $U(3)$-arithmetic manifolds. The key input is a study of the geometry of the Emerton--Gee stacks \cite{arXiv:2012.12719} using the local models introduced in \cite{arXiv:2007.05398}.