On how to avoid exacerbating spurious correlations when models are overparameterized

Abstract: Overparameterized models fail to generalize well in the presence of data imbalance even when combined with traditional techniques for mitigating imbalances. This paper focuses on imbalanced classification datasets, in which a small subset of the population -- a minority -- may contain features that correlate spuriously with the class label. For a parametric family of cross-entropy loss modifications and a representative Gaussian mixture model, we derive non-asymptotic generalization bounds on the worst-group error that shed light on the role of different hyper-parameters. Specifically, we prove that, when appropriately tuned, the recently proposed VS-loss learns a model that is fair towards minorities even when spurious features are strong. On the other hand, alternative heuristics, such as the weighted CE and the LA-loss, can fail dramatically. Compared to previous works, our bounds hold for more general models, they are non-asymptotic, and, they apply even at scenarios of extreme imbalance.