Robust Queue Length Estimation for Ramp Metering in a Connected Vehicle Environment

Abstract: Connected vehicles (CVs) can provide numerous new data via vehicle-to-vehicle or vehicle-to-infrastructure communication. These data can in turn be used to facilitate real-time traffic state estimation. In this paper, we focus on ramp queue length estimation in a connected vehicle environment, which improves control design and implementation of ramp metering algorithms. One major challenge of the estimation problem is that the CV data only represent partial traffic observations and could introduce new uncertainties if real-time CV penetration rates are unknown. To address this, we build our estimation approach on both traditional freeway sensors and new CV data. We first formulate a ramp queue model that considers i) variations in the penetration rate and ii) noise in measurements. Then we develop a robust filter that minimizes the impacts of these two kinds of uncertainties on queue estimation. More importantly, we show that the designed filter has guaranteed long-term estimation accuracy. It allows us to quantify in a theoretical way the relationship between estimation error and fluctuation of CV penetration rates. We also provide a series of simulation results to verify our approach.