Introducing Divergence for Infinite Probabilistic Models

Abstract: Computing the reachability probability in infinite state probabilistic models has been the topic of numerous works. Here we introduce a new property called divergence that when satisfied allows to compute reachability probabilities up to an arbitrary precision. One of the main interest of divergence is that this computation does not require the reachability problem to be decidable. Then we study the decidability of divergence for random walks and the probabilistic versions of Petri nets where the weights associated with transitions may also depend on the current state. This should be contrasted with most of the existing works that assume weights independent of the state. Such an extended framework is motivated by the modeling of real case studies. Moreover, we exhibit some subclasses of channel systems and pushdown automata that are divergent by construction, particularly suited for specifying open distributed systems and networks prone to performance collapsing where probabilities related to service requirements are needed. where probabilities related to service requirements are needed.