Tutorial: a priori estimation of sample size, effect size, and statistical power for cluster analysis, latent class analysis, and multivariate mixture models

Abstract: Before embarking on data collection, researchers typically compute how many individual observations they should do. This is vital for doing studies with sufficient statistical power, and often a cornerstone in study pre-registrations and grant applications. For traditional statistical tests, one would typically determine an acceptable level of statistical power, (gu)estimate effect size, and then use both values to compute the required sample size. However, for analyses that identify subgroups, statistical power is harder to establish. Once sample size reaches a sufficient threshold, effect size is primarily determined by the number of measured features and the underlying subgroup separation. As a consequence, a priory computations of statistical power are notoriously complex. In this tutorial, I will provide a roadmap to determining sample size and effect size for analyses that identify subgroups. First, I introduce a procedure that allows researchers to formalise their expectations about effect sizes in their domain of choice, and use this to compute the minimally required number of measured variables. Next, I outline how to establish the minimum sample size in subgroup analyses. Finally, I use simulations to provide a reference table for the most popular subgroup analyses: k-means, Ward agglomerative hierarchical clustering, c-means fuzzy clustering, latent class analysis, latent profile analysis, and Gaussian mixture modelling. The table shows the minimum numbers of observations per expected subgroup (sample size) and features (measured variables) to achieve acceptable statistical power, and can be readily used in study design.