Spinning waveforms from KMOC at leading order

Abstract: We provide the analytic waveform in time domain for the scattering of two Kerr black holes at leading order in the post-Minkowskian expansion and up to fourth order in both spins. The result is obtained by the generalization of the KMOC formalism to radiative observables, combined with the analytic continuation of the five-point scattering amplitude to complex kinematics. We use analyticity arguments to express the waveform directly in terms of the three-point coupling of the graviton to the spinning particles and the gravitational Compton amplitudes, completely bypassing the need to compute and integrate the five-point amplitude. In particular, this allows to easily include higher-order spin contributions for any spinning compact body. Finally, in the spinless case we find a new compact and gauge-invariant representation of the Kovacs-Thorne waveform.