Predictive Optimization of Hybrid Energy Systems with Temperature Dependency

Abstract: Hybrid Energy Systems (HES), amalgamating renewable sources, energy storage, and conventional generation, have emerged as a responsive resource for providing valuable grid services. Subsequently, modeling and analysis of HES has become critical, and the quality of grid services hedges on it. Currently, most HES models are temperature-agnostic. However, the temperature-dependent factors can significantly impact HES performance, necessitating advanced modeling and optimization techniques. With the inclusion of temperature-dependent models, the challenges and complexity of solving optimization problem increases. In this paper, the electro-thermal modeling of HES is discussed. Based on this model, a nonlinear predictive optimization framework is formulated. A simplified model is developed to address the challenges associated with solving nonlinear problems. Further, projection and homotopy approaches are proposed. In the homotopy method, the NLP is solved by incrementally changing the C-rating of the battery. Simulation-based analysis of the algorithms highlights the effects of different battery ratings, ambient temperatures, and energy price variations. Finally, comparative assessments with a temperature-agnostic approach illustrates the effectiveness of electro-thermal methods in optimizing HES.