On the admissibility of Horvitz-Thompson estimator for estimating causal effects under network interference

Abstract: The Horvitz-Thompson (H-T) estimator is widely used for estimating various types of average treatment effects under network interference. We systematically investigate the optimality properties of H-T estimator under network interference, by embedding it in the class of all linear estimators. In particular, we show that in presence of any kind of network interference, H-T estimator is in-admissible in the class of all linear estimators when using a completely randomized and a Bernoulli design. We also show that the H-T estimator becomes admissible under certain restricted randomization schemes termed as ``fixed exposure designs''. We give examples of such fixed exposure designs. It is well known that the H-T estimator is unbiased when correct weights are specified. Here, we derive the weights for unbiased estimation of various causal effects, and illustrate how they depend not only on the design, but more importantly, on the assumed form of interference (which in many real world situations is unknown at design stage), and the causal effect of interest.