Cardiac Digital Twin Pipeline for Virtual Therapy Evaluation

Abstract: Cardiac digital twins are computational tools capturing key functional and anatomical characteristics of patient hearts for investigating disease phenotypes and predicting responses to therapy. When paired with large-scale computational resources and large clinical datasets, digital twin technology can enable virtual clinical trials on virtual cohorts to fast-track therapy development. Here, we present an automated pipeline for personalising ventricular anatomy and electrophysiological function based on routinely acquired cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging data and the standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). Using CMR-based anatomical models, a sequential Monte-Carlo approximate Bayesian computational inference method is extended to infer electrical activation and repolarisation characteristics from the ECG. Fast simulations are conducted with a reaction-Eikonal model, including the Purkinje network and biophysically-detailed subcellular ionic current dynamics for repolarisation. For each patient, parameter uncertainty is represented by inferring a population of ventricular models rather than a single one, which means that parameter uncertainty can be propagated to therapy evaluation. Furthermore, we have developed techniques for translating from reaction-Eikonal to monodomain simulations, which allows more realistic simulations of cardiac electrophysiology. The pipeline is demonstrated in a healthy female subject, where our inferred reaction-Eikonal models reproduced the patient's ECG with a Pearson's correlation coefficient of 0.93, and the translated monodomain simulations have a correlation coefficient of 0.89. We then apply the effect of Dofetilide to the monodomain population of models for this subject and show dose-dependent QT and T-peak to T-end prolongations that are in keeping with large population drug response data.