Identifying the hosts of binary black hole and neutron star-black hole mergers with next-generation gravitational-wave detectors

Abstract: The LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration has detected over one hundred compact binary mergers in gravitational waves, but the formation history of these binaries remains an open question. Finding the host galaxies of these mergers will provide critical information that reveals how these binaries were formed. However, without an electromagnetic counterpart, localizing gravitational wave events to their hosts is challenging with the current generation of gravitational wave detectors. Next-generation detectors will localize some compact binary mergers to a small volume that allows for direct association with their hosts. To demonstrate the promise these detectors hold, we simulate a population of binary black hole and neutron star-black hole mergers using a next-generation gravitational wave network comprised of Cosmic Explorer and Einstein Telescope. We find that ~4% of binary black hole events within a redshift of 0.5 and ~3% of neutron star-black hole events within a redshift of 0.3 will be localized to a volume smaller than 100 Mpc^3, the volume in which we expect only one likely host galaxy. With the astrophysical merger rate estimated from the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration's third observing run, we expect to precisely localize one binary black hole event every eight days and one neutron star-black hole event every 1.5 months. With three years of gravitational wave observations (O(100) binary black hole mergers with host associations), we will be able to distinguish whether binary black hole host galaxies trace stellar mass or star formation rate, constraining the delay time distribution and shedding light on the formation channels of binary black holes.