Which Identities Are Mobilized: Towards an automated detection of social group appeals in political texts

Abstract: This paper proposes a computational text classification strategy to identify references to social groups in European party manifestos and beyond. Our methodology uses machine learning techniques, including BERT and LLMs, to capture group-based appeals in texts. We propose to combine automated identification of social groups using the Mistral-7B-v0.1 LLM with Embedding Space-based filtering to extend a sample of core social groups to all social groups mentioned in party manifestos. By applying this approach to RRP's and mainstream parties' group images in manifestos, we explore whether electoral dynamics explain similarities in group appeals and potential convergence or divergence in party strategies. Contrary to expectations, increasing RRP support or mainstream parties' vote loss does not necessarily lead to convergence in group appeals. Nonetheless, our methodology enables mapping similarities in group appeals across time and space in 15 European countries from 1980 to 2021 and can be transferred to other use cases as well.