Navigating Autonomous Vehicle on Unmarked Roads with Diffusion-Based Motion Prediction and Active Inference

Abstract: This paper presents a novel approach to improving autonomous vehicle control in environments lacking clear road markings by integrating a diffusion-based motion predictor within an Active Inference Framework (AIF). Using a simulated parking lot environment as a parallel to unmarked roads, we develop and test our model to predict and guide vehicle movements effectively. The diffusion-based motion predictor forecasts vehicle actions by leveraging probabilistic dynamics, while AIF aids in decision-making under uncertainty. Unlike traditional methods such as Model Predictive Control (MPC) and Reinforcement Learning (RL), our approach reduces computational demands and requires less extensive training, enhancing navigation safety and efficiency. Our results demonstrate the model's capability to navigate complex scenarios, marking significant progress in autonomous driving technology.