Generalized functional dynamic principal component analysis

Abstract: In this paper, we explore dimension reduction for time series of functional data within both stationary and non-stationary frameworks. We introduce a functional framework of generalized dynamic principal component analysis (GDPCA). The concept of GDPCA aims for better adaptation to possible nonstationary features of the series. We define the functional generalized dynamic principal component (GDPC) as static factor time series in a functional dynamic factor model and obtain the multivariate GDPC from a truncation of the functional dynamic factor model. GDFPCA uses a minimum squared error criterion to evaluate the reconstruction of the original functional time series. The computation of GDPC involves a two-step estimation of the coefficient vector of the loading curves in a basis expansion. We provide a proof of the consistency of the reconstruction of the original functional time series with GDPC converging in mean square to the original functional time series. Monte Carlo simulation studies indicate that the proposed GDFPCA is comparable to dynamic functional principal component analysis (DFPCA) when the data generating process is stationary, and outperforms DFPCA and FPCA when the data generating process is non-stationary. The results of applications to real data reaffirm the findings in simulation studies.