Compact 15-minute cities are greener

Abstract: The 15-minute city concept, advocating for cities where essential services are accessible within 15 minutes on foot and by bike, has gained significant attention in recent years. However, despite being celebrated for promoting sustainability, there is an ongoing debate regarding its effectiveness in reducing car usage and, subsequently, emissions in cities. In particular, large-scale evaluations of the effectiveness of the 15-minute concept in reducing emissions are lacking. To address this gap, we investigate whether cities with better walking accessibility, like 15-minute cities, are associated with lower transportation emissions. Comparing 700 cities worldwide, we find that cities with better walking accessibility to services emit less CO$_2$ per capita for transport. Moreover, we observe that among cities with similar average accessibility, cities spreading over larger areas tend to emit more. Our findings highlight the effectiveness of decentralised urban planning, especially the proximity-based 15-minute city, in promoting sustainable mobility. However, they also emphasise the need to integrate local accessibility with urban compactness and efficient public transit, which are vital in large cities.