Gamma Distribution for Equilibrium Analysis of Discrete Stochastic Logistic Population Models

Abstract: Stochastic models play an essential role in accounting for the variability and unpredictability seen in real-world. This paper focuses on the application of the gamma distribution to analysis of the stationary distributions of populations governed by the discrete stochastic logistic equation at equilibrium. It is well known that the population dynamics of deterministic logistic models are dependent on the range of intrinsic growth rate. In this paper, we identify the same feasible range of the intrinsic growth rate for the stochastic model at equilibrium and establish explicit mathematical relation among the parameters of the gamma distribution and the stochastic models. We analyze the biological implications of these relationships, with particular emphasis on how the shape and scale parameters of the gamma distribution reflect population dynamics at equilibrium. These mathematical relations describe the impact of the variance of the stochastic perturbation on the intrinsic growth rate, and, in particular, reveal that there are two branches of the intrinsic growth rates representing alternative stable states at equilibrium.