Risk and Vulnerability Assessment of Energy-Transportation Infrastructure Systems to Extreme Weather

Abstract: The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence system performance throughout the extreme weather process. A comprehensive assessment of these factors faces challenges in model complexity and heterogeneity between energy and transportation systems. This paper proposes an assessment framework that accommodates multiple types of emergency decisions. It integrates the heterogeneous energy and transportation infrastructures in the form of a network flow model to simulate and quantify the impact of extreme weather events on the energy-transportation infrastructure system. Based on this framework, a targeted method for identifying system vulnerabilities is further introduced, utilizing a neural network surrogate that achieves privacy protection and evaluation acceleration while maintaining consideration of system interdependencies. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed framework and method can reveal the risk levels faced by urban infrastructure systems, identify weak points that should be prioritized for reinforcement, and strike a balance between accuracy and evaluation speed.