Algebraic growth of the Cremona group

Abstract: We initiate the study of the ''algebraic growth'' of groups of automorphisms and birational transformations of algebraic varieties. Our main result concerns $\text{Bir}(\mathbb{P}^2)$, the Cremona group in $2$ variables. This group is the union, for all degrees $d\geq 1$, of the algebraic variety $\text{Bir}(\mathbb{P}^2)_d$ of birational transformations of the plane of degree $d$. Let $N_d$ denote the number of irreducible components of $\text{Bir}(\mathbb{P}^2)_d$. We describe the asymptotic growth of $N_d$ as $d$ goes to $+\infty$, showing that there are two constants $A$ and $B>0$ such that $$ A\sqrt{\ln(d)} \leq \ln \left(\ln \left(\sum_{e\leq d} N_e \right) \right) \leq B \sqrt{\ln(d)} $$ for all large enough degrees $d$. This growth type seems quite unusual and shows that computing the algebraic growth of $\text{Bir}(\mathbb{P}^2)$ is a challenging problem in general.