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On the rate of convergence of estimating the Hurst parameter of rough stochastic volatility models

Published 12 Apr 2025 in q-fin.ST, math.PR, math.ST, q-fin.MF, and stat.TH | (2504.09276v1)

Abstract: In [8], easily computable scale-invariant estimator $\widehat{\mathscr{R}}s_n$ was constructed to estimate the Hurst parameter of the drifted fractional Brownian motion $X$ from its antiderivative. This paper extends this convergence result by proving that $\widehat{\mathscr{R}}s_n$ also consistently estimates the Hurst parameter when applied to the antiderivative of $g \circ X$ for a general nonlinear function $g$. We also establish an almost sure rate of convergence in this general setting. Our result applies, in particular, to the estimation of the Hurst parameter of a wide class of rough stochastic volatility models from discrete observations of the integrated variance, including the fractional stochastic volatility model.

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