Early linguistic fingerprints of online users who engage with conspiracy communities

Abstract: Online social media platforms are often seen as catalysts for radicalization, as they provide spaces where extreme beliefs can take root and spread, sometimes leading to real-world consequences. Conspiracy theories represent a specific form of radicalization that is notoriously resistant to online moderation strategies. One explanation for this resilience is the presence of a "conspiratorial mindset", a cognitive framework that fundamentally shapes how conspiracy believers perceive reality. However, the role of this mindset in driving online user behavior remains poorly understood. In this study, we analyze the psycholinguistic patterns of Reddit users who become active in a prominent conspiracy community by examining their activity in mainstream communities, which allows us to isolate linguistic markers for the presence of a conspiratorial mindset. We find that conspiracy-engaged individuals exhibit distinct psycholinguistic fingerprints, setting them apart from the general user population. Crucially, this signal is already evident in their online activity prior to joining the conspiracy community, allowing us to predict their involvement years in advance. These findings suggest that individuals who adopt conspiracy beliefs do not radicalize through community involvement, but possess a pre-existing conspiratorial mindset, which predisposes them to seek out and join extreme communities. By challenging the view that online social media platforms actively radicalize users into conspiracy theory beliefs, our findings suggest that standard moderation strategies have limited impact on curbing radicalization, and highlight the need for more targeted, supportive interventions that encourage disengagement from extremist narratives. Ultimately, this work contributes to fostering safer online and offline environments for public discourse.