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Semantic and Feature Guided Uncertainty Quantification of Visual Localization for Autonomous Vehicles

Published 18 Jun 2025 in cs.RO and cs.CV | (2506.15851v1)

Abstract: The uncertainty quantification of sensor measurements coupled with deep learning networks is crucial for many robotics systems, especially for safety-critical applications such as self-driving cars. This paper develops an uncertainty quantification approach in the context of visual localization for autonomous driving, where locations are selected based on images. Key to our approach is to learn the measurement uncertainty using light-weight sensor error model, which maps both image feature and semantic information to 2-dimensional error distribution. Our approach enables uncertainty estimation conditioned on the specific context of the matched image pair, implicitly capturing other critical, unannotated factors (e.g., city vs highway, dynamic vs static scenes, winter vs summer) in a latent manner. We demonstrate the accuracy of our uncertainty prediction framework using the Ithaca365 dataset, which includes variations in lighting and weather (sunny, night, snowy). Both the uncertainty quantification of the sensor+network is evaluated, along with Bayesian localization filters using unique sensor gating method. Results show that the measurement error does not follow a Gaussian distribution with poor weather and lighting conditions, and is better predicted by our Gaussian Mixture model.

Summary

Semantic and Feature Guided Uncertainty Quantification of Visual Localization for Autonomous Vehicles

This paper delves into the domain of uncertainty quantification in deep learning-based visual localization systems, particularly for autonomous vehicles navigating through varied environmental conditions. The authors aim to predict localization errors by integrating lightweight learning models with image feature extraction and semantic segmentation to obtain a probabilistically grounded understanding of potential measurement errors. This process, notably applicable to self-driving car systems, advances the capabilities of traditional visual localization methods, adding a layer of complexity and nuanced understanding of environment-specific variables affecting localization.

The primary contribution of the paper is the development of the Keypoint-Semantic-Error-Net (KSE-Net) as a mechanism to characterize uncertainty in visual localization pipelines. This neural network model aids in predicting two-dimensional Gaussian mixture models of localization error by utilizing information gleaned from keypoint matches and semantic classes derived from semantic segmentation networks, such as DeepLabv3Plus-MobileNet. The model provides a significant improvement over existing frameworks by encapsulating diverse contextual features like weather conditions and scene dynamics, reducing dependency on a vast array of predetermined error models.

Methodologically, the paper offers a novel take on uncertainty prediction by utilizing Gaussian mixture models instead of traditional Gaussian assumptions typically employed in sequence-based localization algorithms. Bayesian estimation techniques were implemented through Sigma Point Filters (SPF) and Gaussian Sum Filters (GSF) for evaluating predicted uncertainties, accounting for measurement noise and uncertainties in real-time navigation scenarios. Notably, the authors introduce a gated sensory measurement system to account for outliers that occur due to unexpected disturbances.

The dataset used, Ithaca365, equips the authors with rigorous test conditions to demonstrate the resilience and accuracy of their approach across different lighting and weather scenarios. The results suggest that their uncertainty prediction model significantly outperforms baseline approaches, showcasing improved probabilistic coverage of true errors, particularly under challenging conditions like nighttime or snowy weather. The evaluation metrics include measures of distance error, covariance credibility, and the frequency of measurement rejections, all corroborating the efficacy of the proposed system.

Key insights from the experiments highlight the model's capability to accommodate previously challenging conditions without the exhaustive process of bespoke traversal-specific error modeling. The integration of semantic data aids in better scene comprehension and localization reliability, demonstrating potential real-world applicability and scalability.

Theoretically, this work introduces important considerations for modeling uncertainty in complex environments, integrating semantic and feature representations seamlessly without disrupting base pipelines. Practically, this can inform future developmental trajectories for autonomous navigation systems, ensuring higher confidence in visual localization metrics, enhancing overall safety and robustness.

Future research could expand upon this foundation by refining the contextual understanding of scenes, potentially incorporating additional sensor modalities and exploring dynamic scene changes with higher state granularity. Additionally, optimizing computational loads while maintaining high accuracy levels will be critical for extending these techniques to embedded systems within autonomous platforms. The capacity to generalize this method across various conditions without a degradation in performance underlines a significant progression in uncertainty modeling in practical AI-powered systems.

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