Greedy Selection under Independent Increments: A Toy Model Analysis

Abstract: We study an iterative selection problem over N i.i.d. discrete-time stochastic processes with independent increments. At each stage, a fixed number of processes are retained based on their observed values. Under this simple model, we prove that the optimal strategy for selecting the final maximum-value process is to apply greedy selection at each stage. While the result relies on strong independence assumptions, it offers a clean justification for greedy heuristics in multi-stage elimination settings and may serve as a toy example for understanding related algorithms in high-dimensional applications.