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Analytic inference with two-way clustering

Published 25 Jun 2025 in econ.EM and stat.ME | (2506.20749v1)

Abstract: This paper studies analytic inference along two dimensions of clustering. In such setups, the commonly used approach has two drawbacks. First, the corresponding variance estimator is not necessarily positive. Second, inference is invalid in non-Gaussian regimes, namely when the estimator of the parameter of interest is not asymptotically Gaussian. We consider a simple fix that addresses both issues. In Gaussian regimes, the corresponding tests are asymptotically exact and equivalent to usual ones. Otherwise, the new tests are asymptotically conservative. We also establish their uniform validity over a certain class of data generating processes. Independently of our tests, we highlight potential issues with multiple testing and nonlinear estimators under two-way clustering. Finally, we compare our approach with existing ones through simulations.

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