Nonlinear stochastic trajectory optimization

Abstract: Designing robust space trajectories in nonlinear dynamical environments, such as the Earth-Moon circular restricted three-body problem (CR3BP), poses significant challenges due to sensitivity to initial conditions and non-Gaussian uncertainty propagation. This work introduces a novel solver for discrete-time chance-constrained trajectory optimization under uncertainty, referred to as stochastic optimization with differential algebra (SODA). SODA combines differential algebra (DA) with adaptive Gaussian mixture decomposition to efficiently propagate non-Gaussian uncertainties, and enforces Gaussian multidimensional chance constraints using scalable, less conservative transcription methods. We further introduce an efficient and accurate failure risk estimation technique, coupled with a risk allocation strategy across mixture components that enables tight and adaptive distribution of safety margins. The framework is validated on five trajectory design problems of increasing dynamical complexity, from heliocentric transfers to challenging Earth-Moon CR3BP scenarios. A linear variant, the linear stochastic optimization with differential algebra (L-SODA) solver, recovers deterministic performance with minimal overhead under small uncertainties, while the nonlinear SODA solver yields improved robustness and tighter constraint satisfaction in strongly nonlinear regimes. Results highlight SODA's ability to generate accurate, robust, and computationally tractable solutions, supporting its potential for future use in uncertainty-aware space mission design.