Revisiting Query Variants: The Advantage of Retrieval Over Generation of Query Variants for Effective QPP

Abstract: Leveraging query variants (QVs), i.e., queries with potentially similar information needs to the target query, has been shown to improve the effectiveness of query performance prediction (QPP) approaches. Existing QV-based QPP methods generate QVs facilitated by either query expansion or non-contextual embeddings, which may introduce topical drifts and hallucinations. In this paper, we propose a method that retrieves QVs from a training set (e.g., MS MARCO) for a given target query of QPP. To achieve a high recall in retrieving queries with the most similar information needs as the target query from a training set, we extend the directly retrieved QVs (1-hop QVs) by a second retrieval using their denoted relevant documents (which yields 2-hop QVs). Our experiments, conducted on TREC DL'19 and DL'20, show that the QPP methods with QVs retrieved by our method outperform the best-performing existing generated-QV-based QPP approaches by as much as around 20\%, on neural ranking models like MonoT5.