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Statistical Indications of Toponium Formation in Top Quark Pair Production

Published 3 Nov 2025 in hep-ph and hep-ex | (2511.02040v1)

Abstract: We present an analysis of six differential cross-section measurements of top-quark pair production in the dilepton channel from the ATLAS and CMS experiments. The data are compared to state-of-the-art QCD predictions with and without the inclusion of toponium formation effects. This contribution is modelled via a re-weighting of fixed-order matrix elements using the Green's function of the non-relativistic QCD Hamiltonian, and we employ a statistical model to quantify the preference of the data for the toponium hypothesis. All observables yield Bayes factors larger than unity, with two exceeding 20, yielding strong evidence for toponium formation in top-quark pair production at the LHC.

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